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Santa Barbara Luxury Real Estate Market Report: July 2025 | Mid-Year Analysis

Santa Barbara Luxury Real Estate Market Report: July 2025 | Mid-Year Analysis

At the midpoint of 2025, Santa Barbara's luxury real estate market demonstrates strategic resilience and selective opportunity. July delivered 120 total transactions worth $297.6 million—a 30% increase over July 2024—bringing year-to-date performance to 796 sales valued at $2.4 billion, an 11% increase over the same period last year.

July Performance Overview

July's 78 single-family sales totaling $265.8 million and 33 condominium transactions worth $31.8 million represented a 34% increase in single-family sales and 65% surge in condominium transactions versus July 2024. The month's highest sale reached $13 million in Montecito, while properties averaged 41 days on market when positioned strategically.

Year-to-Date Market Strength

Single-Family Performance: The first half delivered 575 transactions averaging $3.7 million, with a 12% increase in sales volume and 10% rise in median pricing to $2.43 million. Montecito led with 117 sales averaging $7.66 million (34% volume increase), while Santa Barbara proper maintained consistency with 246 transactions averaging $2.67 million.

Condominium Vitality: Luxury condominiums showed 221 sales averaging $1.38 million year-to-date, representing 9% transaction growth and 13% median price appreciation to $1.09 million. This segment continues attracting buyers seeking turnkey luxury living.

Market Fundamentals: With 3.87 months of inventory supply and 34% cash participation in July transactions, the market maintains optimal balance between buyer selection and pricing stability.

Geographic Performance Analysis

Montecito: 20 July transactions contributed to year-to-date totals of 117 sales averaging $7.66 million—a 34% volume increase demonstrating renewed ultra-luxury demand.

Hope Ranch: 5 July sales supported year-to-date performance of 23 transactions averaging $8.15 million—a remarkable 109% increase reflecting appreciation for equestrian estate living.

Santa Barbara: 39 July transactions brought year-to-date totals to 246 sales averaging $2.67 million, maintaining steady urban coastal demand.

Goleta: 19 July sales contributed to 147 year-to-date transactions averaging $1.95 million—a 4% increase in this family-oriented market.

Carpinteria: 4 July sales supported 25 year-to-date transactions averaging $2.93 million—a 36% increase reflecting growing coastal value recognition.

Investment & Market Dynamics

Capital Performance: The $2.4 billion year-to-date volume represents 11% growth, while 10% median price appreciation outpaces traditional investment alternatives. Despite 6.57% average mortgage rates, strong cash participation reduces financing dependencies.

Luxury Concentration: Properties above $2 million represent 65% of single-family transactions year-to-date, reflecting buyer sophistication and Santa Barbara's premium positioning.

Market Positioning: Current inventory at 3.87 months supply provides optimal balance—meaningful buyer selection without oversupply pressure on pricing.

Strategic Outlook: Second Half 2025

Seasonal Momentum: July's 30% year-over-year increase suggests sustained buyer engagement entering fall's decision-making season.

For Sellers: Current conditions reward strategic positioning from launch. Properties priced correctly continue achieving efficient sales, while those requiring adjustments face extended timelines.

For Buyers: Quality properties command quick decisions, particularly in the $2-4M segment representing our market's core. Current inventory provides selection while maintaining Santa Barbara's characteristic urgency.

Conclusion

Santa Barbara's mid-2025 performance demonstrates sophisticated market adaptation creating both immediate opportunity and long-term value preservation. With 796 transactions totaling $2.4 billion year-to-date—an 11% increase over 2024—the market rewards strategic positioning while maintaining conviction in our community's irreplaceable coastal lifestyle value.

The convergence of limited inventory, lifestyle appeal, and buyer sophistication positions Santa Barbara as a premier luxury market where informed decisions create exceptional outcomes for the remainder of 2025.


Market data compiled from Santa Barbara Multiple Listing Service through July 31, 2025. Analysis reflects luxury market segments in districts 05-35.

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