Key Market Insights for Late 2024
1. Luxury Market Leadership
- High-End Sales: Montecito remains a standout, with 87.6% of October’s residential sales exceeding $1 million. Its 93108 ZIP code ranks as the 5th most expensive in the U.S., with a median sale price of $5 million
- Riviera & Mesa Hotspots: Properties here sell faster than average, with many spending fewer than 50 days on the market
2. Inventory Trends
- Inventory has grown by 22.7% compared to last year, a welcome shift after years of tight supply. Approximately 250 homes are currently listed across Santa Barbara County, offering a mix of luxury estates and more modest coastal properties
3. Price Adjustments
- The median home price in Santa Barbara sits at $2.4 million, down 4.1% month-over-month, reflecting slight market cooling while maintaining strong annual growth of 7.2%
4. Sales Conditions
- Notable sales in November include several high-value properties, some selling up to 9% below their original list prices—a sign of sellers adjusting to the current market dynamics
What’s Shaping the Market?
- Interest Rates: While mortgage rates hover near 6.7%, projections suggest a drop to 6.0% in early 2025, which may boost buyer activity
- Buyer Trends: Affluent buyers remain active in the ultra-luxury market, while more affordable areas like Santa Maria are drawing interest from budget-conscious buyers
- Seasonal Effects: The winter market traditionally sees slower activity, offering potential buyers more negotiation leverage.
Looking Ahead to Q1 2025
- Pricing Stability: Home values are expected to stabilize, with modest gains likely in high-demand neighborhoods
- Market Expansion: An uptick in inventory and slight rate reductions could invite more first-time buyers into the market, balancing luxury and middle-tier demand